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Red262
6909141.1
2846144.7
3276187.9
Blue365
4253205.7
4361157.0
2502169.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3054130100200500600262365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#21
187.90.8
184.4185.3
Auto24.0
Teleop132.2
End33.1
blue by 17.7
4253
#13
205.70.6
218.7218.1
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
Second
2846
#31
144.71.0
148.9148.0
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End12.0
blue by 24.4
169.10.4
165.0165.4
Auto22.7
Teleop115.2
End32.6
Third
6909
#54
141.11.4
135.5136.8
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
blue by 15.9
4361
#18
157.00.2
155.2155.5
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsEarned