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Red291
2987167.4
2338172.1
467147.2
Blue406
225219.3
862183.9
5050204.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624610100200300400500600700291406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#66
172.10.1
176.7176.6
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
blue by 47.2
225
#1
219.30.0
219.9219.8
Auto23.9
Teleop164.6
End31.5
Second
2987
#51
167.40.9
163.8164.7
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
blue by 37.2
204.60.8
195.1195.8
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
Third
467
#41
147.20.1
143.7143.6
Auto17.9
Teleop110.7
End22.4
blue by 36.6
862
#8
183.91.9
191.5189.6
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned