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Red150
5016118.8
2137165.2
335998.7
Blue355
2234113.5
1816139.1
71181.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393810100200300500600700150355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#24
165.20.7
162.6163.2
Auto21.1
Teleop125.3
End20.3
blue by 16.4
71
#6
181.70.5
178.3178.8
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
Second
5016
#67
118.80.9
122.5121.6
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
blue by 20.3
1816
#25
139.11.1
136.2137.3
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
Third
3359
#68
98.71.0
102.9101.9
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
blue by 14.8
2234
#65
113.51.0
118.3117.3
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed