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Red289
2537166.9
467147.2
3940168.2
Blue404
7225179.1
3990199.8
5254176.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304421100200500600700289404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#28
168.20.9
165.6164.8
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
blue by 31.6
3990
#35
199.80.0
198.8198.8
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
Second
2537
#47
166.90.3
167.4167.1
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
blue by 12.1
7225
#26
179.10.1
178.7178.6
Auto25.1
Teleop132.3
End22.5
Third
467
#41
147.20.2
143.6143.9
Auto17.9
Teleop110.7
End22.4
blue by 29.1
5254
#45
176.40.3
179.4179.7
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed