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Red373
1731189.3
88167.8
4361157.0
Blue294
4230153.3
5016118.8
1640198.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972790100200500600700373294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.30.2
192.8193.0
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
blue by 9.3
1640
#11
198.61.0
193.2194.2
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
Second
88
#23
167.80.6
164.1164.8
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
red by 14.5
4230
#48
153.30.0
153.1153.2
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
Third
4361
#18
157.00.0
155.5155.5
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
red by 38.2
5016
#67
118.81.3
121.6120.2
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed