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Red291
2225134.8
2338172.1
2832156.0
Blue343
25214.1
3604164.1
2771190.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271452100200400500600700291343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#66
172.10.5
176.9176.4
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
blue by 41.9
25
#19
214.10.2
215.3215.5
Auto24.0
Teleop170.1
End17.8
Second
2832
#55
156.00.6
153.3154.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
blue by 34.1
2771
#38
190.10.8
193.7192.9
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
Third
2225
#50
134.80.7
131.5132.2
Auto15.3
Teleop105.6
End11.1
blue by 29.3
3604
#60
164.11.4
171.0169.6
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed54%Face the Boss oddsMissed