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Qual 712018 Carson Division
Red446
3357227.4
71181.7
3990199.8
Blue309
6548168.6
2586145.2
1736184.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4552920100200400500600700446309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#4
227.40.4
224.5→224.9
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 42.8
1736
#12
184.50.3
182.3→182.6
Auto24.9
Teleop134.4
End26.9
Second
3990
#35
199.80.1
198.8→198.9
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
red by 31.2
6548
#37
168.61.1
171.6→170.4
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
Third
71
#6
181.70.7
179.1→179.8
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
red by 36.5
2586
#59
145.20.1
144.2→144.3
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
46%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsEarned