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Red402
217226.0
2537166.9
1640198.6
Blue268
4004170.1
1885167.8
335998.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4672110100300400500600700402268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
226.00.6
223.4224.0
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
red by 55.9
4004
#29
170.11.3
161.6162.9
Auto19.1
Teleop134.2
End15.6
Second
1640
#11
198.61.1
194.2195.3
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
red by 30.8
1885
#34
167.80.6
165.5164.9
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
Third
2537
#47
166.90.1
167.1167.0
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
red by 68.2
3359
#68
98.71.3
100.699.3
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed