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Red465
133212.7
6334159.4
225219.3
Blue169
2846144.7
4230153.3
1816139.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4751890100300400600700465169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
219.30.5
219.8220.3
Auto23.9
Teleop164.6
End31.5
red by 66.0
4230
#48
153.30.3
153.2153.4
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
Second
133
#14
212.70.0
211.9211.9
Auto23.7
Teleop155.7
End32.7
red by 67.9
2846
#31
144.70.5
146.8146.3
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End12.0
Third
6334
#40
159.40.6
160.3159.8
Auto24.6
Teleop112.8
End20.9
red by 20.3
1816
#25
139.11.0
138.1139.1
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
82%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed