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Red419
272148.9
1507187.5
4230153.3
Blue338
3936137.6
5484142.3
422166.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360360200250300400450419338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#17
187.50.2
187.4187.3
Auto24.6
Teleop129.9
End33.5
red by 21.2
422
#33
166.20.2
165.2165.5
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End17.7
Second
4230
#48
153.30.2
153.4153.3
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
red by 11.0
5484
#56
142.30.0
141.7141.6
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
Third
272
#64
148.91.3
151.7150.4
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
red by 11.3
3936
#42
137.61.5
133.4134.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.6
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsEarned