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Red227
5254176.4
1731189.3
2338172.1
Blue391
6909141.1
133212.7
3357227.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345416200300500600700227391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.30.8
193.2192.4
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
blue by 38.1
227.40.6
224.9225.5
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
Second
5254
#45
176.40.1
180.0179.8
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
blue by 36.3
133
#14
212.70.3
211.9212.2
Auto23.7
Teleop155.7
End32.7
Third
2338
#66
172.10.2
176.4176.2
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
red by 31.0
6909
#54
141.11.4
137.8139.3
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed63%Face the Boss oddsEarned