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Red323
335998.7
2604109.8
103159.3
Blue367
1100175.3
5016118.8
2225134.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363780100200300500600323367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#39
159.30.1
156.9157.1
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
blue by 16.1
1100
#27
175.31.9
170.3172.2
Auto22.7
Teleop129.1
End27.4
Second
2604
#62
109.80.4
107.7108.1
Auto16.9
Teleop77.8
End16.5
blue by 25.0
2225
#50
134.80.7
132.2133.0
Auto15.3
Teleop105.6
End11.1
Third
3359
#68
98.70.6
99.398.7
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
blue by 20.1
5016
#67
118.80.4
119.4119.1
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned