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Red330
190147.4
5546181.2
6548168.6
Blue404
88167.8
2987167.4
384192.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320408100200500600700330404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5546
#36
181.20.1
181.0180.9
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
blue by 10.9
384
#9
192.11.6
187.9189.5
Auto19.7
Teleop146.6
End24.2
Second
6548
#37
168.60.6
170.4169.8
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
red by 0.8
88
#23
167.81.1
165.3166.3
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
Third
190
#44
147.40.8
145.3146.1
Auto18.8
Teleop112.9
End17.7
blue by 20.0
2987
#51
167.40.6
166.2166.8
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed