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Qual 872018 Carson Division
Red290
4130161.5
1816139.1
5505197.8
Blue403
1885167.8
3940168.2
7225179.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377359250300400450500550290403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#15
197.80.0
199.0→199.0
Auto21.0
Teleop150.1
End26.8
red by 18.7
7225
#26
179.10.2
178.5→178.3
Auto25.1
Teleop132.3
End22.5
Second
4130
#32
161.50.7
160.6→161.3
Auto17.1
Teleop120.6
End24.9
blue by 6.6
3940
#28
168.20.7
164.2→164.9
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
Third
1816
#25
139.10.4
139.1→139.5
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
blue by 28.6
1885
#34
167.80.0
164.9→164.9
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed