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Red351
1816139.1
1640198.6
3015186.0
Blue414
25214.1
5254176.4
862183.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3294010100200500600700351414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
198.60.8
195.9196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
blue by 15.5
25
#19
214.10.1
214.6214.5
Auto24.0
Teleop170.1
End17.8
Second
3015
#20
186.00.1
185.4185.3
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
red by 2.2
862
#8
183.91.0
186.5185.5
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
Third
1816
#25
139.10.3
139.5139.2
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
blue by 37.3
5254
#45
176.41.0
179.8178.9
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed