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Red304
4230153.3
6909141.1
2987167.4
Blue456
3940168.2
4004170.1
4967169.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319397100200500600304456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#51
167.40.5
166.8167.3
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
blue by 2.7
4004
#29
170.12.5
164.5166.9
Auto19.1
Teleop134.2
End15.6
Second
4230
#48
153.30.2
153.3153.5
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
blue by 16.1
4967
#22
169.40.2
167.0167.2
Auto25.4
Teleop117.4
End27.1
Third
6909
#54
141.11.2
139.3140.5
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
blue by 27.1
3940
#28
168.21.1
164.9166.0
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed