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Red436
2502169.1
4476192.2
103159.3
Blue234
6548168.6
71181.7
2338172.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374350100200300500600436234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#30
192.20.5
189.9190.4
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
red by 10.6
71
#6
181.70.9
180.5181.4
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
Second
169.10.6
166.8167.5
Auto22.7
Teleop115.2
End32.6
blue by 3.0
2338
#66
172.11.0
176.2175.2
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
Third
103
#39
159.30.7
157.1157.8
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
blue by 9.3
6548
#37
168.60.2
169.8169.6
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned75%Face the Boss oddsMissed