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Red390
2771190.1
4253205.7
6806132.0
Blue264
2586145.2
2537166.9
5016118.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437270100200400500600700390264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
205.73.0
215.1212.1
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
red by 38.7
2537
#47
166.90.1
166.7166.8
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
Second
2771
#38
190.10.7
191.3190.6
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
red by 45.0
2586
#59
145.20.2
144.7144.9
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
Third
6806
#63
132.00.6
132.8132.2
Auto19.4
Teleop98.0
End15.8
red by 13.2
5016
#67
118.80.2
119.1118.9
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed