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Red450
4361157.0
5050204.6
217226.0
Blue362
5505197.8
133212.7
5546181.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412355200300500600700450362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
226.00.2
224.2224.4
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
red by 13.4
133
#14
212.70.3
212.2212.4
Auto23.7
Teleop155.7
End32.7
Second
204.61.9
198.4200.4
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
red by 6.8
5505
#15
197.80.7
199.0198.3
Auto21.0
Teleop150.1
End26.8
Third
4361
#18
157.00.6
155.7156.2
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
blue by 24.2
5546
#36
181.20.3
180.9181.2
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsEarned80%Face the Boss oddsEarned