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Red384
4499158.3
2910218.7
4911189.0
Blue337
341182.7
4944171.4
175185.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40635502006008001,0001,2001,400384337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.70.3
218.0218.4
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
red by 33.2
175
#23
185.50.2
185.3185.5
Auto21.9
Teleop133.1
End31.3
Second
189.00.3
188.5188.7
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 6.2
341
#8
182.70.6
181.6182.2
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
Third
4499
#15
158.30.3
157.7158.0
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
blue by 13.1
171.40.4
170.6171.0
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4