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Quarterfinal 4-32018 Carver Division
Red283
418152.8
16206.0
1425202.2
Blue417
341182.7
4944171.4
175185.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39735105001,0001,5002,000283417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
206.00.3
205.8→206.0
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
red by 20.6
175
#23
185.50.0
184.8→184.8
Auto21.9
Teleop133.1
End31.3
Second
1425
#18
202.20.4
202.6→202.2
Auto20.9
Teleop144.1
End34.8
red by 19.5
341
#8
182.70.5
179.3→179.8
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
Third
418
#20
152.80.3
152.6→152.8
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
blue by 18.5
4944
#7
171.40.3
169.4→169.6
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4