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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Carver Division
Red387
4499158.3
2910218.7
4911189.0
Blue268
6502181.7
6800163.2
342170.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40232802006008001,0001,200387268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#6
218.70.3
216.8→217.1
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
red by 37.0
6502
#11
181.70.1
181.5→181.6
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
Second
4911
#1
189.00.2
187.6→187.8
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 18.8
342
#14
170.20.4
169.4→169.8
Auto20.0
Teleop132.4
End18.1
Third
4499
#15
158.30.3
156.6→156.9
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
blue by 5.0
6800
#31
163.20.3
162.9→163.2
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9