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Semifinal 1-22018 Carver Division
Red420
4499158.3
2910218.7
4911189.0
Blue311
1421173.0
5499145.5
5987192.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4153160100200500600700800420311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#6
218.70.3
217.7→218.0
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
red by 26.1
5987
#4
192.60.4
192.2→192.6
Auto22.4
Teleop148.9
End22.1
Second
4911
#1
189.00.2
188.2→188.5
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 16.0
1421
#34
173.00.1
172.9→173.0
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Third
4499
#15
158.30.3
157.4→157.7
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
red by 12.8
5499
#50
145.50.0
145.5→145.5
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7