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Red442
341182.7
418152.8
3132146.4
Blue251
6985143.6
108135.0
3753139.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3842790100200500600442251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#8
182.71.0
176.2177.2
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
red by 39.2
6985
#41
143.62.0
147.7145.7
Auto21.6
Teleop107.5
End14.0
Second
418
#20
152.80.4
151.7152.1
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
red by 13.1
3753
#32
139.70.8
141.8141.0
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
Third
3132
#12
146.41.0
144.8145.8
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
red by 11.4
108
#62
135.00.5
135.2135.8
Auto18.0
Teleop110.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed