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Red391
1622185.5
3834117.4
4911189.0
Blue301
100128.2
1378114.7
2723135.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420235100200300500600700391301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.01.7
184.2185.9
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 53.4
2723
#66
135.60.3
135.4135.1
Auto16.0
Teleop103.9
End14.6
Second
1622
#28
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
red by 57.3
100
#40
128.20.8
126.0126.8
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End16.8
Third
3834
#57
117.41.1
119.5118.3
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
red by 2.7
1378
#58
114.71.0
112.1113.2
Auto14.0
Teleop92.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed