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Red378
2928151.4
4944171.4
418152.8
Blue364
1622185.5
4192150.2
1425202.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293421100200500600700378364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.40.1
168.3168.3
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
blue by 30.8
1425
#18
202.21.1
204.5203.3
Auto20.9
Teleop144.1
End34.8
Second
418
#20
152.80.4
152.1152.6
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
blue by 32.7
1622
#28
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Third
2928
#22
151.41.1
150.3151.4
Auto20.8
Teleop107.5
End26.3
red by 1.2
4192
#38
150.20.8
149.4150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsMissed