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Qual 1112018 Carver Division
Red500
2152142.0
7123123.2
341182.7
Blue173
3991141.9
1466154.0
4171126.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382276100200500600700800500173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#8
182.70.9
177.2→178.1
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
red by 28.7
1466
#52
154.00.2
153.8→154.0
Auto20.0
Teleop118.1
End16.5
Second
2152
#29
142.00.5
141.5→142.0
Auto21.8
Teleop108.0
End17.0
red by 0.2
3991
#53
141.90.8
142.6→141.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
Third
7123
#36
123.20.3
122.9→123.2
Auto13.7
Teleop94.6
End18.1
blue by 3.6
4171
#55
126.80.2
126.6→126.8
Auto16.8
Teleop96.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed