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Red134
3834117.4
3132146.4
2723135.6
Blue429
7301110.3
3229135.4
4795174.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303367100200400500600134429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#12
146.40.8
145.8146.6
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
blue by 27.9
4795
#25
174.40.1
173.7173.9
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
Second
2723
#66
135.60.5
135.1135.6
Auto16.0
Teleop103.9
End14.6
red by 0.1
3229
#21
135.40.7
134.7135.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End27.2
Third
3834
#57
117.40.9
118.3117.4
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
red by 7.2
7301
#60
110.30.4
110.7110.3
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed