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Red401
1690197.5
580149.2
4501105.8
Blue201
1421173.0
6985143.6
3229135.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280374100200500600700401201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.50.6
178.0178.7
Auto22.5
Teleop153.7
End23.8
red by 24.5
1421
#34
173.01.7
170.9172.6
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Second
580
#17
149.20.3
134.7135.1
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
red by 5.6
6985
#41
143.61.0
151.7152.6
Auto21.6
Teleop107.5
End14.0
Third
4501
#35
105.81.1
102.5101.4
Auto16.5
Teleop78.0
End13.4
blue by 29.6
3229
#21
135.40.4
135.3135.6
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed