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Red182
683299.3
342170.2
1410155.3
Blue402
4265172.0
3753139.7
1769112.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023200100200400500600700182402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#14
170.20.9
162.0163.0
Auto20.0
Teleop132.4
End18.1
blue by 1.8
4265
#10
172.01.0
155.7156.7
Auto20.3
Teleop131.0
End24.1
Second
1410
#24
155.31.8
147.0148.8
Auto18.8
Teleop114.8
End22.3
red by 15.6
3753
#32
139.71.2
136.9138.2
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
Third
6832
#42
99.30.6
94.394.8
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End7.2
blue by 12.7
1769
#64
112.00.0
120.7120.7
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed