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Red306
4192150.2
4171126.8
1414180.6
Blue281
2415146.0
3834117.4
6413114.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782580200600800306281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.60.5
177.8177.3
Auto23.7
Teleop134.7
End24.6
red by 34.6
2415
#39
146.00.6
143.0142.4
Auto21.7
Teleop112.4
End13.1
Second
4192
#38
150.20.9
144.2145.1
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
red by 32.7
3834
#57
117.42.3
115.4117.8
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Third
4171
#55
126.80.3
125.9126.1
Auto16.8
Teleop96.3
End14.3
red by 12.0
6413
#45
114.81.1
109.3110.4
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed