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Qual 232018 Carver Division
Red366
7123123.2
3145141.8
5803188.7
Blue356
932157.1
6502181.7
3753139.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319340250300400450366356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#27
188.70.2
187.5→187.3
Auto22.6
Teleop132.0
End35.1
red by 7.1
6502
#11
181.70.6
174.6→175.3
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
Second
3145
#51
141.81.0
143.6→142.7
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End19.3
blue by 15.4
932
#54
157.10.3
156.5→156.8
Auto20.3
Teleop115.3
End22.2
Third
7123
#36
123.21.4
114.9→116.3
Auto13.7
Teleop94.6
End18.1
blue by 16.5
3753
#32
139.71.5
138.2→139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed