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Red390
5829116.5
6800163.2
1466154.0
Blue257
1769112.0
175185.5
7301110.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322318200250300350400450390257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#31Sur
163.20.7
153.7154.4
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
blue by 22.2
175
#23
185.50.7
185.2185.8
Auto21.9
Teleop133.1
End31.3
Second
1466
#52
154.00.3
151.5151.8
Auto20.0
Teleop118.1
End16.5
red by 42.0
1769
#64Sur
112.00.4
120.7121.1
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
Third
5829
#59
116.50.7
118.5117.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.4
End12.4
red by 6.3
7301
#60
110.30.3
109.6109.3
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed