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Red377
1421173.0
5499145.5
2429113.5
Blue449
341182.7
5458139.6
4795174.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319363100200400500600700377449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#34Sur
173.00.3
172.6172.9
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
blue by 9.7
341
#8
182.70.7
171.3170.7
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
Second
5499
#50
145.51.6
160.0158.4
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7
blue by 28.9
4795
#25
174.40.1
171.4171.5
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
Third
2429
#61
113.50.2
119.3119.4
Auto18.0
Teleop80.8
End13.1
blue by 26.1
5458
#43Sur
139.60.7
128.5129.2
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed