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Red253
2811187.8
3991141.9
6846108.7
Blue505
580149.2
1622185.5
5987192.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2704110100200500600700800253505

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#63
187.80.6
192.3191.7
Auto22.1
Teleop145.1
End17.8
blue by 4.8
192.60.4
177.4177.9
Auto22.4
Teleop148.9
End22.1
Second
3991
#53
141.91.0
140.9141.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
blue by 43.7
1622
#28
185.50.1
184.9184.8
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Third
6846
#48
108.70.7
102.8103.5
Auto18.8
Teleop80.6
End9.8
blue by 40.5
580
#17
149.21.1
135.1136.2
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned