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Red203
5805161.8
7111118.5
6413114.8
Blue419
4795174.4
16206.0
108135.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2384300100200300500600700203419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#33
161.80.6
160.9161.5
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 44.3
16
#3
206.00.1
200.5200.7
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
Second
7111
#26
118.50.5
113.4113.9
Auto18.6
Teleop88.8
End12.6
blue by 55.8
4795
#25
174.40.6
171.5172.1
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
Third
6413
#45
114.80.4
111.6112.1
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
blue by 20.2
108
#62
135.00.8
131.2132.0
Auto18.0
Teleop110.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned20%Face the Boss oddsMissed