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Red200
418152.8
4499158.3
3834117.4
Blue496
5803188.7
580149.2
4265172.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272411100200500600700200496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#15
158.30.6
154.6155.2
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
blue by 30.5
5803
#27
188.70.3
187.3187.6
Auto22.6
Teleop132.0
End35.1
Second
418
#20
152.80.1
153.4153.5
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
blue by 19.2
4265
#10
172.01.6
157.9159.5
Auto20.3
Teleop131.0
End24.1
Third
3834
#57
117.41.3
119.9121.2
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
blue by 31.8
580
#17
149.21.6
136.2137.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned