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Red169
6502181.7
6985143.6
5499145.5
Blue405
343148.3
744184.4
1369138.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313328150200250350400450500169405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#11
181.71.4
175.9177.4
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
blue by 2.7
744
#13
184.41.0
177.6178.6
Auto22.6
Teleop138.7
End23.1
Second
5499
#50
145.52.2
158.4156.2
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7
blue by 2.8
343
#16
148.30.5
146.3145.8
Auto21.2
Teleop119.9
End8.5
Third
6985
#41
143.60.0
152.4152.4
Auto21.6
Teleop107.5
End14.0
red by 5.3
1369
#49
138.20.2
132.2131.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed