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Red224
5026163.7
3753139.7
4306143.8
Blue316
1378114.7
2910218.7
4192150.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793630100200400500600224316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.70.5
162.6162.2
Auto24.4
Teleop122.9
End19.6
blue by 54.9
218.70.0
211.8211.9
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
Second
4306
#65
143.80.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.0
Teleop107.8
End20.6
blue by 6.4
4192
#38
150.21.3
145.4146.7
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Third
3753
#32
139.71.2
139.7140.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
red by 25.0
1378
#58
114.71.3
106.4107.7
Auto14.0
Teleop92.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed