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Red321
3238142.6
342170.2
2415146.0
Blue317
3229135.4
418152.8
3145141.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3263200100200400500600700321317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#14
170.20.8
163.2164.1
Auto20.0
Teleop132.4
End18.1
red by 17.3
418
#20
152.80.5
153.5153.1
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
Second
2415
#39
146.00.0
142.4142.3
Auto21.7
Teleop112.4
End13.1
red by 4.2
3145
#51
141.80.2
141.6141.8
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End19.3
Third
3238
#30
142.60.6
144.8144.2
Auto22.2
Teleop104.7
End15.6
red by 7.2
3229
#21
135.40.5
134.6134.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed