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Red364
5458139.6
580149.2
100128.2
Blue414
2556158.7
6502181.7
7301110.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269368100200300400500600700364414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#17
149.22.0
137.8139.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
blue by 32.5
6502
#11
181.70.3
177.4177.0
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
Second
5458
#43
139.60.7
130.2130.9
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
blue by 19.0
2556
#44
158.72.2
147.8150.0
Auto17.3
Teleop119.1
End24.0
Third
100
#40
128.20.4
126.1125.8
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End16.8
red by 18.0
7301
#60
110.30.0
108.9108.9
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed