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Red338
6413114.8
3753139.7
4911189.0
Blue301
4499158.3
6902115.2
3991141.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433070100200400500600700338301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.6
181.7182.4
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 30.7
4499
#15
158.30.8
155.1155.9
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
Second
3753
#32
139.70.1
141.5141.6
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
blue by 2.2
3991
#53
141.90.5
143.6144.1
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
Third
6413
#45
114.80.7
112.7112.0
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
blue by 0.4
6902
#67
115.20.9
124.0123.0
Auto16.6
Teleop82.1
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed