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Qual 602018 Carver Division
Red260
4192150.2
5499145.5
3238142.6
Blue392
5987192.6
1410155.3
3132146.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313383100200500600260392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#38
150.21.0
147.5→148.5
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
blue by 42.4
5987
#4
192.62.1
180.7→182.8
Auto22.4
Teleop148.9
End22.1
Second
5499
#50
145.52.4
153.0→150.6
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7
blue by 9.8
1410
#24
155.30.7
150.7→151.4
Auto18.8
Teleop114.8
End22.3
Third
3238
#30
142.60.5
144.2→143.6
Auto22.2
Teleop104.7
End15.6
blue by 3.8
3132
#12
146.40.6
144.2→143.6
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned