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Red354
801141.9
2556158.7
4795174.4
Blue360
1622185.5
343148.3
341182.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298386100200500600700354360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#25
174.40.1
172.5172.6
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
blue by 11.2
1622
#28
185.50.6
186.3185.7
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
Second
2556
#44
158.72.3
150.0152.2
Auto17.3
Teleop119.1
End24.0
blue by 24.1
341
#8
182.71.4
172.0173.3
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
Third
801
#37
141.90.1
140.2140.4
Auto19.3
Teleop101.1
End20.2
blue by 6.4
343
#16
148.30.1
146.2146.1
Auto21.2
Teleop119.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed