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Red279
580149.2
6838103.9
3145141.8
Blue287
4944171.4
7111118.5
1769112.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306290100200400500600279287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#17
149.22.0
139.8141.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
blue by 22.2
171.40.3
168.2167.8
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
Second
3145
#51
141.80.2
141.8142.0
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End19.3
red by 23.2
7111
#26
118.50.8
114.6115.4
Auto18.6
Teleop88.8
End12.6
Third
6838
#56
103.91.5
100.1101.6
Auto16.1
Teleop80.7
End6.0
blue by 8.1
1769
#64
112.02.3
120.2117.9
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed