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Red393
5458139.6
16206.0
4306143.8
Blue255
4013125.1
2811187.8
418152.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344348250300400450393255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
206.00.7
200.7201.4
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
red by 18.2
2811
#63
187.80.4
190.3189.9
Auto22.1
Teleop145.1
End17.8
Second
4306
#65
143.80.5
145.1144.5
Auto16.0
Teleop107.8
End20.6
blue by 9.0
418
#20
152.80.3
153.1152.8
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
Third
5458
#43
139.60.9
130.9131.8
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
red by 14.5
4013
#68
125.10.0
126.1126.1
Auto17.8
Teleop91.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed