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Red325
6800163.2
100128.2
4265172.0
Blue344
7123123.2
2415146.0
1690197.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327317100200400500600325344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#10
172.02.0
161.6163.6
Auto20.3
Teleop131.0
End24.1
blue by 25.5
197.52.1
183.5185.6
Auto22.5
Teleop153.7
End23.8
Second
6800
#31
163.21.7
157.5159.2
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
red by 17.3
2415
#39
146.00.1
142.3142.3
Auto21.7
Teleop112.4
End13.1
Third
100
#40
128.20.1
125.8125.9
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End16.8
red by 5.0
7123
#36
123.20.5
119.9120.4
Auto13.7
Teleop94.6
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed