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Red419
341182.7
7301110.3
4911189.0
Blue282
3145141.8
1369138.2
4192150.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483110100200400500600700800419282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.7
182.4183.0
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 38.8
4192
#38
150.20.5
148.5149.1
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
341
#8
182.71.3
173.3174.6
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
red by 41.0
3145
#51
141.80.5
142.0142.5
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End19.3
Third
7301
#60
110.30.5
109.3109.8
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
blue by 28.0
1369
#49
138.21.6
133.6135.2
Auto17.9
Teleop107.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed