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Red358
1378114.7
3132146.4
6413114.8
Blue307
1769112.0
7123123.2
2811187.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423780100200300500600700358307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#12
146.40.1
143.6143.5
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
blue by 41.4
2811
#63
187.80.9
189.9189.0
Auto22.1
Teleop145.1
End17.8
Second
6413
#45
114.80.4
112.0111.6
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
blue by 8.3
7123
#36
123.20.9
120.4121.3
Auto13.7
Teleop94.6
End18.1
Third
1378
#58
114.71.0
109.0110.0
Auto14.0
Teleop92.0
End11.7
red by 2.8
1769
#64
112.01.5
117.9116.4
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed