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Red264
108135.0
6800163.2
2429113.5
Blue326
16206.0
5829116.5
3834117.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983500100200400500600700800264326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#31
163.21.2
159.2160.4
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
blue by 42.8
16
#3
206.00.6
201.4202.0
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
Second
108
#62
135.00.9
133.7134.6
Auto18.0
Teleop110.5
End4.5
red by 17.6
3834
#57
117.40.9
120.9119.9
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Third
2429
#61
113.50.5
115.4114.9
Auto18.0
Teleop80.8
End13.1
blue by 3.0
5829
#59
116.50.4
117.1116.7
Auto16.1
Teleop89.4
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed